Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.022298 0.023946 0.025661 0.027583 0.029676 0.031891 0.034415
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.019587 0.021964 0.024568 0.027641 0.031179 0.035138 0.039923
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.017517 0.020277 0.023416 0.027270 0.031898 0.037306 0.044150
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.015874 0.018842 0.022322 0.026730 0.032206 0.038839 0.047560
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.014703 0.017828 0.021586 0.026479 0.032740 0.040565 0.051211
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013721 0.016949 0.020918 0.026210 0.033162 0.042098 0.054636
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012750 0.016004 0.020083 0.025637 0.033105 0.042944 0.057137
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.012239 0.015605 0.019906 0.025885 0.034110 0.045220 0.061700
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.011676 0.015098 0.019545 0.025843 0.034691 0.046918 0.065528
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011300 0.014812 0.019452 0.026145 0.035742 0.049308 0.070493
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010768 0.014282 0.018993 0.025899 0.035982 0.050523 0.073761
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010329 0.013857 0.018652 0.025790 0.036398 0.051998 0.077498
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009837 0.013338 0.018158 0.025440 0.036443 0.052931 0.080472
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009506 0.013030 0.017948 0.025490 0.037086 0.054803 0.085080
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009084 0.012571 0.017498 0.025153 0.037107 0.055693 0.088116
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008648 0.012074 0.016966 0.024662 0.036852 0.056115 0.090371
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008315 0.011714 0.016619 0.024434 0.036993 0.057172 0.093775
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.008001 0.011366 0.016275 0.024189 0.037087 0.058144 0.097083
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007635 0.010926 0.015772 0.023668 0.036696 0.058273 0.098864
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007480 0.010799 0.015741 0.023894 0.037548 0.060553 0.104745
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007269 0.010579 0.015553 0.023856 0.037949 0.062069 0.109297
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007144 0.010484 0.015558 0.024130 0.038892 0.064586 0.115951
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006910 0.010212 0.015272 0.023906 0.038955 0.065524 0.119571